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Friday, November 17, 2023

Vernian Capital on X: Bought FILRT as a Play on the BPO Sector with an Indicative Yield of 10%

Historical Chart, Weekly

Investment Rationale:

1. Assets comprising of 17 fully operational, Grade-A PEZA accredited Office Buildings in Alabang 

and 1 prime beach lot property in Boracay leased to Crimson hotels

2. Attractive dividend yield of 10% at current levels

3. "peak rates" outlook in 2023, policy rates projected to fall in 2024 onwards, making $FILRT yield more attractive

4. Strong BPO sector outlook projected to grow more than 10% per year in the next 5 years

5. Vacancy rate of ~20% is putting pressure on rental income but can be viewed as upside potential should office leasing picks up

6. Given point number 4, we think point 5 should be mitigated with almost 80% of tenants being largely multinational BPO companies

Saturday, October 14, 2023

Vernian Capital on X: Bought GDXJ as a Bullish Play on Gold

November is one of gold's strongest month based on the 20-year historical average. If this plays out, we could be testing the multi-year resistance at 2050-2100 levels by then.

Macro backdrop of "flight to safety is also in play".

Technical Pattern: Falling broadening wedge, continuation pattern, bullish to the upside Long $GDXJ at 33.36
Holding Period: 1 to 4 months
Price Target: None, discretionary
Stop Loss: None, discretionary

Traded Under (3) Special Situations

1Y, Daily Chart